The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are set to clash in the rubber match of their three-game series at Wrigley Field on Wednesday, August 6, 2025. With both teams vying for position in the National League Central and Wild Card races, this matchup promises significant implications.
Pitching Matchup: Abbott vs. Horton
This game features a compelling pitching duel between two promising young arms. The Cincinnati Reds will send left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound. Abbott has been a standout for the Reds, boasting an impressive 8-1 record with a 2.15 ERA. His ability to limit hard contact and keep hitters off balance has been a key factor in his success.
On the other side, the Chicago Cubs will counter with rookie right-hander Cade Horton. Horton has also shown flashes of brilliance in his debut season, holding a 5-3 record with a 3.42 ERA. He’s demonstrated effectiveness at home and will look to continue that trend against a potent Reds lineup.
Key Takeaways
Andrew Abbott has been dominant for the Reds, with an 8-1 record and 2.15 ERA.
Cade Horton has been a solid contributor for the Cubs, posting a 5-3 record and 3.42 ERA.
The Cubs hold a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups, winning six of the last ten games against the Reds.
Betting trends suggest a close game, with the Cubs favored at home.
Team Performance and Betting Trends
The Cubs enter the series finale with a 65-47 record, placing them second in the NL Central, three games behind the Milwaukee Brewers. They lead the league in runs scored and are second in slugging percentage, showcasing their offensive prowess. However, their pitching staff ranks 16th in ERA.
The Reds, with a 59-54 record, are third in the NL Central and are in contention for a Wild Card spot. They rank 10th in runs scored and 16th in batting average. Their pitching staff has been solid, ranking 11th in MLB with a 3.85 ERA.
Betting trends indicate the Cubs are favored at home, with odds around -186 on the moneyline. The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 runs. Historically, the Cubs have performed well against left-handed pitching, which could be an advantage against Abbott.
Injury Report
Both teams are dealing with their share of injuries. The Cubs have several key pitchers on the injured list, including Justin Steele and Jameson Taillon. The Reds also have a notable list of injured pitchers, including Nick Lodolo and Wade Miley.
Prediction
While the Reds have shown resilience and Andrew Abbott has been exceptional, the Cubs’ offensive firepower at home, combined with Cade Horton’s potential, gives them a slight edge. The Cubs’ ability to hit with runners in scoring position and their historical success against left-handers could be deciding factors. Expect a tightly contested game, with the Cubs likely to secure the series win.
Final Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Reds 3
Best Bet: Under 7.5 runs
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