The Chicago Bears (4-3) travel to face the Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) Sunday afternoon at Paycor Stadium, and we’re actually favored on the road. That tells you everything about where these two teams stand right now – we’re trending up while Cincinnati continues struggling.
Game Information
Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. CT
Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati
TV Coverage: CBS
Streaming: Fubo, Paramount+
Betting Lines and Analysis
Spread: Bears -2.5
Moneyline: Bears -154, Bengals +129
Total: 51.5 points
Bears Rolling Into Week 9
We’re 4-3 and building momentum at the perfect time. More importantly, we’ve covered the spread four times in seven games, showing we’re competitive even when expectations are high.
The most telling stat? We’re 1-0 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or greater this season. When the betting markets respect us, we deliver. That’s a sign of a team that’s maturing and learning how to handle expectations.
Four of our seven games have gone over the total, suggesting we’re capable of getting into shootouts when necessary.
Bengals in Freefall
Cincinnati sits at 3-5 with serious playoff hopes fading fast. Their 3-5 ATS record shows they’re not even keeping games close when getting points. As underdogs of 2.5 points or more, they’re just 2-3 ATS – barely above coin flip territory.
The concerning trend for Bengals backers? Six of their eight games have gone over the total. Their defense can’t stop anyone, which creates both opportunity and risk for this matchup.
Why We Should Win This Game
Being road favorites doesn’t happen often for the Bears, so when it does, you pay attention. The market is telling us Cincinnati’s problems are worse than their 3-5 record suggests.
Defensive Advantage
The Bengals can’t stop anyone right now. Six of eight games going over tells you their defense is getting torched weekly. Our offense should move the ball consistently and put up points.
Bengals’ Desperation
Teams at 3-5 are desperate, which can manifest as either inspired play or complete collapse. Given Cincinnati’s recent form and defensive struggles, collapse feels more likely.
Road Confidence
We’re 1-0 ATS as favorites of 2.5+ points. That’s a small sample size, but it shows we can handle the pressure of being favored away from Soldier Field.
Joe Burrow Will Get His Stats
Let’s be real – Burrow is elite and will put up numbers regardless of who’s playing defense. He’s going to throw for 300+ yards and multiple touchdowns. That’s just what he does.
The question isn’t whether Burrow will produce. It’s whether our offense can keep pace and whether our defense can get one or two key stops when it matters most.
Over/Under Analysis
51.5 points feels about right, maybe even low. Here’s the math:
Six of Cincinnati’s eight games have gone over
Four of our seven games have gone over
Bengals defense is porous
Burrow will score points
We’re capable of putting up 24-28 points
This projects as a shootout where both offenses find success. The over feels like the smart play.
Bears’ Keys to Victory
For us to cover the 2.5-point spread and get the road win, we need:
Score early – Get ahead and force Cincinnati into one-dimensional offense
Control clock – Can’t let Burrow get too many possessions
Win turnover battle – Force one or two Burrow mistakes
Red zone efficiency – Touchdowns over field goals
Bengals’ Path to Upset
Cincinnati can win this game if:
Burrow plays lights-out (likely)
Their defense creates 2+ turnovers (unlikely)
They win time of possession battle
Home crowd provides energy
The problem is their defense makes all of this difficult. Even if Burrow throws for 400 yards and 4 TDs, can they stop us enough to win?
Bears Fan Perspective
This is exactly the type of game we need to win to prove we’re legitimate playoff contenders. Cincinnati is struggling, we’re favored on the road, and we’re playing with confidence.
No trap game excuses. No “they have Burrow” panic. We’re the better team right now, and we need to go into Paycor Stadium and prove it.
The 2.5-point spread feels generous. We should win by a touchdown if we play our game and don’t beat ourselves with turnovers or penalties.
Game Prediction
Final Score: Bears 31, Bengals 27
We cover the 2.5-point spread in a shootout that goes over the total. Burrow puts up big numbers, but our balanced attack and slightly better defense make the difference down the stretch.
Best Bets:
Bears -2.5 (confident play) – We’re the better team right now
Bears ML -154 (solid value) – Should win outright
Over 51.5 (strong play) – Both offenses will score
For Bears fans, this represents a statement opportunity. Beat a team with a franchise quarterback on the road and move to 5-3 heading into the tougher part of our schedule.
Sunday afternoon in Cincinnati – let’s take care of business and keep building momentum.
Bear Down! Lets go Bears!
The post Bengals vs Bears Week 9 Prediction Game Today November 2: Road Favorite in Cincinnati appeared first on UrbanMatter.
