The Chicago Bears (7-3) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field, riding a 3-game winning streak and looking to solidify our playoff positioning. Weโ€™re 2.5-point favorites at home against a tough Steelers team that always plays physical, hard-nosed football.

Game Information

Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. CT
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
TV Coverage: CBS
Streaming: Fubo, Paramount+

Betting Lines and Analysis

Spread: Bears -2.5
Moneyline: Bears -147, Steelers +122
Total: 46.5 points

Bears Riding High at 7-3

Weโ€™re 7-3 and playing our best football of the season with three straight wins. More importantly, weโ€™re 6-4 against the spread, showing weโ€™re meeting or exceeding expectations. Five of our 10 games have gone over the total, suggesting a balanced offensive approach.

The encouraging stat? Weโ€™re 2-1 ATS as favorites of 2.5+ points, meaning we handle expectations well when the market respects us.

Caleb Williamsโ€™ Continued Growth

Our rookie quarterback continues developing week by week. Heโ€™s protecting the football better, making clutch throws in critical moments, and showing the poise that made him the No. 1 overall pick. The offense isnโ€™t perfect, but itโ€™s functional and improving.

Defense Stepping Up

Our defense has been the difference during this 3-game win streak. Weโ€™re generating pressure, creating turnovers, and making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks. Against a Steelers offense that can be inconsistent, this creates real opportunity.

Running Game Balance

The ground game has found consistency lately, keeping defenses honest and opening up play-action opportunities for Caleb. Weโ€™re not a dominant rushing team, but weโ€™re effective enough to control clock and keep our defense fresh.

Steelers Tough as Always

Pittsburgh sits at 6-4 with their trademark physical, defensive-minded identity. Theyโ€™re 5-5 against the spread with a 2-2 ATS record as underdogs of 2.5+ points โ€“ theyโ€™re competitive even when not favored.

Five of their 10 games have gone over the total, matching our split exactly.

Steelersโ€™ Identity

Pittsburgh plays ugly, physical football. Theyโ€™ll run the ball, play great defense, and try to keep it low-scoring and grinding. They donโ€™t beat themselves with turnovers or penalties, and they execute fundamentals.

This is exactly the type of game that makes Bears fans nervous โ€“ a tough, physical opponent that keeps it close and wins in the trenches.

Road Warriors

The Steelers travel well and arenโ€™t intimidated by hostile environments. Soldier Field in late November creates advantages, but Pittsburgh has played in tougher conditions and won.

Why the 2.5-Point Spread Feels Right

This isnโ€™t a game where we should be heavily favored. Pittsburgh is tough, well-coached, and always competitive. The 2.5-point spread reflects genuine respect for both teams and projects a close, competitive game.

Home Field Matters

Soldier Field in late November provides legitimate advantages. The weather could be a factor, our crowd will be engaged, and weโ€™re comfortable playing at home. Thatโ€™s worth 2-3 points easily.

Three-Game Win Streak Momentum

Weโ€™re playing with confidence right now. The nightmare 5-game losing streak feels like ancient history. Weโ€™ve figured some things out, and momentum matters in the NFL.

Steelersโ€™ Consistency

Pittsburgh is 6-4 for a reason โ€“ theyโ€™re solid but not dominant. They can beat good teams and lose to mediocre ones. Theyโ€™re exactly the type of opponent where execution determines outcomes.

Mike Tomlin Never Loses Big

The Steelers head coach has never had a losing season in his entire career. Heโ€™ll have Pittsburgh prepared, disciplined, and competitive regardless of circumstances. We canโ€™t overlook them or expect an easy victory.

Tomlinโ€™s teams play smart, physical football. They wonโ€™t beat themselves, which means we need to earn this win through superior execution.

Betting Analysis

The Spread

Bears -2.5 feels appropriate but not overwhelmingly confident. We should win at home during our win streak, but Pittsburgh has the talent and coaching to keep it within a field goal.

The Moneyline

Bears -147 offers fair value for a home favorite. Weโ€™re the better team right now with superior momentum, but this wonโ€™t be comfortable.

The Total

Over 46.5 creates interesting value. Both teams have gone over in exactly half their games. The weather and Pittsburghโ€™s defensive identity suggest under, but our recent offensive improvement leans over.

Bearsโ€™ Keys to Victory

For us to extend the win streak to four games and move to 8-3, we need:

Win in the trenches โ€“ Canโ€™t let Pittsburgh dominate line of scrimmage
Protect Caleb โ€“ Their pass rush will test our offensive line
Force turnovers โ€“ Make their offense one-dimensional
Execute in the red zone โ€“ Touchdowns over field goals

Historical Context

Bears-Steelers games are always physical, defensive battles. These franchises share similar identities โ€“ tough, defensive-minded, blue-collar football. Expect a grind.

Bears Fan Perspective

This is exactly the type of game that tests whether weโ€™re legitimate contenders or pretenders. Pittsburgh is tough, well-coached, and will make us earn every yard.

The 2.5-point spread shows appropriate respect for both teams. Weโ€™re favored because weโ€™re home and riding a 3-game win streak, but the market knows Pittsburgh can absolutely win this game.

Soldier Field in late November against Mike Tomlin and the Steelers โ€“ this is classic Bears football. Physical, defensive-minded, grinding it out in the cold. We need to embrace that identity and impose our will.

Three straight wins have us feeling good, but Pittsburgh is the toughest test weโ€™ve faced during this streak. Win this game, and we make a statement that our playoff hopes are legitimate.

Game Prediction

Final Score: Bears 24, Steelers 20

We extend the winning streak to four games, covering the 2.5-point spread in a close, physical battle. The game stays competitive throughout, with our defense making two key stops in the fourth quarter to preserve the victory.

The game goes over 46.5 points as both offenses make just enough plays to push the total higher than expected in a defensive struggle.

Best Bets:

Bears -2.5 (confident play) โ€“ Home field edge matters
Bears ML -147 (solid value) โ€“ Should win close game
Over 46.5 (slight lean) โ€“ Could sneak over in close game

For Bears fans, this represents a defining moment in our season. Beat a tough, well-coached opponent at home, move to 8-3, and prove weโ€™re legitimate NFC playoff contenders.

Sunday at Soldier Field โ€“ letโ€™s make it four straight and show Pittsburgh what Bears football is all about.

Bear Down! Letยดs Go!

The post Steelers vs Bears Week 12 Prediction Game Today November 23: Home Favorite on 3-Game Win Streak appeared first on UrbanMatter.

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