The Chicago Bears (7-3) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field, riding a 3-game winning streak and looking to solidify our playoff positioning. Weโre 2.5-point favorites at home against a tough Steelers team that always plays physical, hard-nosed football.
Game Information
Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. CT
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
TV Coverage: CBS
Streaming: Fubo, Paramount+
Betting Lines and Analysis
Spread: Bears -2.5
Moneyline: Bears -147, Steelers +122
Total: 46.5 points
Bears Riding High at 7-3
Weโre 7-3 and playing our best football of the season with three straight wins. More importantly, weโre 6-4 against the spread, showing weโre meeting or exceeding expectations. Five of our 10 games have gone over the total, suggesting a balanced offensive approach.
The encouraging stat? Weโre 2-1 ATS as favorites of 2.5+ points, meaning we handle expectations well when the market respects us.
Caleb Williamsโ Continued Growth
Our rookie quarterback continues developing week by week. Heโs protecting the football better, making clutch throws in critical moments, and showing the poise that made him the No. 1 overall pick. The offense isnโt perfect, but itโs functional and improving.
Defense Stepping Up
Our defense has been the difference during this 3-game win streak. Weโre generating pressure, creating turnovers, and making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks. Against a Steelers offense that can be inconsistent, this creates real opportunity.
Running Game Balance
The ground game has found consistency lately, keeping defenses honest and opening up play-action opportunities for Caleb. Weโre not a dominant rushing team, but weโre effective enough to control clock and keep our defense fresh.
Steelers Tough as Always
Pittsburgh sits at 6-4 with their trademark physical, defensive-minded identity. Theyโre 5-5 against the spread with a 2-2 ATS record as underdogs of 2.5+ points โ theyโre competitive even when not favored.
Five of their 10 games have gone over the total, matching our split exactly.
Steelersโ Identity
Pittsburgh plays ugly, physical football. Theyโll run the ball, play great defense, and try to keep it low-scoring and grinding. They donโt beat themselves with turnovers or penalties, and they execute fundamentals.
This is exactly the type of game that makes Bears fans nervous โ a tough, physical opponent that keeps it close and wins in the trenches.
Road Warriors
The Steelers travel well and arenโt intimidated by hostile environments. Soldier Field in late November creates advantages, but Pittsburgh has played in tougher conditions and won.
Why the 2.5-Point Spread Feels Right
This isnโt a game where we should be heavily favored. Pittsburgh is tough, well-coached, and always competitive. The 2.5-point spread reflects genuine respect for both teams and projects a close, competitive game.
Home Field Matters
Soldier Field in late November provides legitimate advantages. The weather could be a factor, our crowd will be engaged, and weโre comfortable playing at home. Thatโs worth 2-3 points easily.
Three-Game Win Streak Momentum
Weโre playing with confidence right now. The nightmare 5-game losing streak feels like ancient history. Weโve figured some things out, and momentum matters in the NFL.
Steelersโ Consistency
Pittsburgh is 6-4 for a reason โ theyโre solid but not dominant. They can beat good teams and lose to mediocre ones. Theyโre exactly the type of opponent where execution determines outcomes.
Mike Tomlin Never Loses Big
The Steelers head coach has never had a losing season in his entire career. Heโll have Pittsburgh prepared, disciplined, and competitive regardless of circumstances. We canโt overlook them or expect an easy victory.
Tomlinโs teams play smart, physical football. They wonโt beat themselves, which means we need to earn this win through superior execution.
Betting Analysis
The Spread
Bears -2.5 feels appropriate but not overwhelmingly confident. We should win at home during our win streak, but Pittsburgh has the talent and coaching to keep it within a field goal.
The Moneyline
Bears -147 offers fair value for a home favorite. Weโre the better team right now with superior momentum, but this wonโt be comfortable.
The Total
Over 46.5 creates interesting value. Both teams have gone over in exactly half their games. The weather and Pittsburghโs defensive identity suggest under, but our recent offensive improvement leans over.
Bearsโ Keys to Victory
For us to extend the win streak to four games and move to 8-3, we need:
Win in the trenches โ Canโt let Pittsburgh dominate line of scrimmage
Protect Caleb โ Their pass rush will test our offensive line
Force turnovers โ Make their offense one-dimensional
Execute in the red zone โ Touchdowns over field goals
Historical Context
Bears-Steelers games are always physical, defensive battles. These franchises share similar identities โ tough, defensive-minded, blue-collar football. Expect a grind.
Bears Fan Perspective
This is exactly the type of game that tests whether weโre legitimate contenders or pretenders. Pittsburgh is tough, well-coached, and will make us earn every yard.
The 2.5-point spread shows appropriate respect for both teams. Weโre favored because weโre home and riding a 3-game win streak, but the market knows Pittsburgh can absolutely win this game.
Soldier Field in late November against Mike Tomlin and the Steelers โ this is classic Bears football. Physical, defensive-minded, grinding it out in the cold. We need to embrace that identity and impose our will.
Three straight wins have us feeling good, but Pittsburgh is the toughest test weโve faced during this streak. Win this game, and we make a statement that our playoff hopes are legitimate.
Game Prediction
Final Score: Bears 24, Steelers 20
We extend the winning streak to four games, covering the 2.5-point spread in a close, physical battle. The game stays competitive throughout, with our defense making two key stops in the fourth quarter to preserve the victory.
The game goes over 46.5 points as both offenses make just enough plays to push the total higher than expected in a defensive struggle.
Best Bets:
Bears -2.5 (confident play) โ Home field edge matters
Bears ML -147 (solid value) โ Should win close game
Over 46.5 (slight lean) โ Could sneak over in close game
For Bears fans, this represents a defining moment in our season. Beat a tough, well-coached opponent at home, move to 8-3, and prove weโre legitimate NFC playoff contenders.
Sunday at Soldier Field โ letโs make it four straight and show Pittsburgh what Bears football is all about.
Bear Down! Letยดs Go!
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